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India vs Tajikistan: Who Has the Edge in the Race for the UN Security Council Seat?

India Launches Campaign for UNSC 2028–29 Term as Competition with Tajikistan Intensifies

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India vs Tajikistan: Who Has the Edge in the Race for the UN Security Council Seat?

India has officially launched its campaign for a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) for the 2028–29 term. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar announced India's candidature, marking the formal beginning of New Delhi's diplomatic outreach ahead of the elections scheduled for June 2027.

India is contesting for the Asia-Pacific Group's allocated seat, where it will face Tajikistan in what is expected to be a closely watched diplomatic contest.

Support for Both Candidates Tajikistan has already secured the backing of the 57-member Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), giving it a significant bloc of assured support in the General Assembly.

India, meanwhile, has received public support from countries including the United States, Australia, Fiji, Sri Lanka, and Austria. New Delhi is also expected to rely on its extensive diplomatic partnerships across Asia, Africa, Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific.

India's Strengths India enters the race with several key advantages:

A long and established record of participation in the United Nations.

Previous experience as a non-permanent member of the UNSC, most recently during the 2021–22 term.

One of the world's fastest-growing major economies and an increasingly influential global power.

Strong contributions to UN peacekeeping operations and active engagement in global issues such as climate action, counter-terrorism, and sustainable development. Broad diplomatic ties with countries across multiple regions.

These factors are expected to strengthen India's campaign among UN member states.

Tajikistan's Advantages Despite India's diplomatic weight, Tajikistan cannot be underestimated.

Its biggest advantage is the collective support of the OIC, which represents a sizeable voting bloc in the UN General Assembly. As a Central Asian nation, Tajikistan may also attract support from regional partners and countries seeking greater geographical representation within the Security Council.

What Could Influence the Election?

The election will be decided by the 193-member UN General Assembly, where candidates must secure a two-thirds majority of members present and voting.

While India's global influence and diplomatic outreach make it a strong contender, Tajikistan's organised bloc support through the OIC could make the contest far more competitive than expected.

In the months leading up to the June 2027 vote, both countries are likely to intensify diplomatic engagements, seek endorsements from undecided nations, and highlight their respective contributions to the United Nations.

Who Has the Edge?

At present, India appears to have the advantage due to its wider international influence, economic strength, and established role in global governance. However, Tajikistan's backing from the OIC gives it a solid foundation that could make the election highly competitive.

The outcome will ultimately depend on how effectively each country builds broader international consensus before the General Assembly casts its votes in June 2027.

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